Wednesday, 14 November, 2018

Tropical Storm Helene forms in eastern Atlantic

Hurricane Florence weakens but could threaten U.S. coast next week Florence's projected path. National Hurricane Center
Glenn Montgomery | 08 September, 2018, 17:08

"The tropics are becoming very active, which is typical since next week is the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season". Earlier this week, Florence became the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season. You can see all the latest information in your Weather on the One's Forecast on Spectrum News.

Gov. Roy Cooper announced Friday that the State Emergency Operations Center will activate Monday to monitor the storm and respond as needed. Florence will remain a tropical storm/weak hurricane this weekend and because of this weaker storm and resulting southerly track, it will likely miss the trough and continue west.

It also would put Bermuda directly in Florence's path.

A ridge of high pressure moving in from the central U.S.is expected to move toward the Northeast by midweek.

"The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along the U.S. East Coast next week has increased".

So how could that be bad for the East Coast?

Now the storm sits several hundred miles east-south east of Bermuda, but is traveling on a west north-westerly course, which puts Bermuda in its direct path. The question of where Florence would make landfall and how strong the cyclone would be is too soon to be determined.

"Swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda on Friday and will reach portions of the US East Coast over the weekend".

Elsewhere, two tropical waves in the far eastern Atlantic have a high probability of becoming a tropical storm or hurricane.

It is carrying maximum sustained winds near 35 miles per hour, and at 2 p.m., it was located about 440 miles of southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. The storm is moving west at 13 miles per hour. The system is moving west-northwest at 5 miles per hour.

Significantly, the average track of the American model simulations, which had suggested the storm was most likely to stay well out to sea, has trended closer to the coastline with time.

It is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this system will have on the Caribbean. The current projected path could bring this system over the Lesser Antilles during the latter part of next week.

Olivia is expected to move west-northwest through Saturday, before turning more westward on Sunday.

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